Free Football Betting Tips & Predictions: Best Bets for Tuesday

Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.

A big part of finding value is using our expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.

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Tuesday's Best Bets

Tottenham v Man City

Tottenham fans may think Spurs will just roll over here to prevent their bitter rivals from winning the Premier League title. However, the Spurs players are professional footballers with an outside chance of making the top four (currently 14/1).  There may be a strange atmosphere in the stands, but I think the players will try to win the game on the pitch. Spurs have lost five Premier League home games this season but only one by more than one goal, which was the 4-1 defeat against Chelsea, where they had nine men from the 55th minute. Man City have won just one game away from home against the top seven, which came by a single goal at Newcastle when the Toon Army were ravaged by injuries and had Lewis Miley starting in midfield. Spurs would have already covered this handicap twice this season with a 3-3 draw away at the Etihad and a 1-0 home loss in the FA Cup. I think the market has gone too far on City.

1 Point on Tottenham +1.5 Asian Handicap Best price available at 20/21 with bet365

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If you had bet Bet Builder selections to £20 a point this season, you'd have made +£256.80 in profit—and we only started in February!

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