Weblog: The football punter

Cardiff can survive trip to Lions' den

Sky Bet Championship
Sky Sports Football/Main Event, 7.45pm Friday

Cardiff are one of the most physical, streetwise teams in the Sky Bet Championship and those qualities can help them pass a stern test against Millwall at the Den.

Six of the current top ten - Wolves, Derby, Preston, Sheffield United, Middlesbrough and Leeds - have visited Millwall this season and none have triumphed.

Millwall's supporters and players have risen to the occasion for high-profile matches and opposition teams often seemed ill-equipped to cope with the lively atmosphere and direct style of football.

But it could be different this time because Cardiff, under vastly experienced manager Neil Warnock, should be ready for the challenge.

Far from being intimidated, Warnock and his players will look forward to the occasion.

Cardiff played in a similarly hostile environment against Leeds at Elland Road on Saturday and produced one of their best performances of the season to secure a 4-1 victory.

The win kept the Bluebirds in the thick of the automatic promotion battle, just three points behind second-placed Derby, who have played one game more.

Cardiff had to regroup after a disappointing festive period when they lost four games in succession and have done exactly that by taking seven points from the last nine available.

Warnock freshened up his squad with some astute January transfer dealings, including an eye-catching loan move for Liverpool midfielder Marko Grujic.

Gary Madine was snapped up from Bolton for a reported £6m on deadline day to compete with Kenneth Zohore for the centre-forward position and Cardiff's squad is looking well equipped for the remaining months of the season.

Millwall are well on course to achieve their primary target of second-tier survival but the game comes at a tricky time, just three days after they exited the FA Cup with a 1-0 fourth-round replay loss at Rochdale.

Neil Harris made six changes for the game at Spotland, so his players shouldn't be at too much of a physical disadvantage.

But the loss to Rochdale will not have gone down well with the Lions' supporters, who knew that a victory would have set up an exciting fifth-round tie at home to Tottenham.

There could be a more muted atmosphere at the Den than has often been the case this season and, if Millwall's players are not quite at full throttle, they will not pose anywhere near the same threat.

Cardiff will be respectful of Millwall's home results this season but it looks a winnable game for them and they look decent value on the draw no bet.

Cardiff draw no bet

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Match in Focus

13:30 Su 19Aug

Burnley v Watford

Home Win Draw Away Win
Key stats
  • Burnley only scored 16 home goals in the league last season.
Expert verdict
Burnley will need to get to grips with balancing Premier League commitments with their Europa League ambitions this term and could be vulnerable after playing in Istanbul on Thursday night.Watford were full of energy in their opening win and can take advantage of any Clarets’ fatigue.