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Free Football Betting Tips & Predictions: Best Bets for Tuesday

Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.

A big part of finding value is using our expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.

Tuesday's Best Bets

Coventry v Ipswich

This is a good spot to back Coventry. Ipswich are winless in four and have only won two of eight away against the top ten. I think they'd be okay with a point, so the game could get stuck at 1-1. This would put them one point ahead of Leeds in second place, with Huddersfield at home on the final day and Leeds hosting Southampton. Coventry would have only lost by two or more in four of their 44 games this season. Weirdly, two of those came away at relegated Rotherham and Birmingham, who are also in a relegation battle. Ipswich have won the expected goals battle by more than 0.50 in just one of six of their last away, which came at Plymouth. They've also allowed over 1.00 xG in four of six. It's difficult to cover these big handicaps when conceding, and Coventry have shown their attacking quality in recent weeks, scoring three in their comeback against Manchester United.

1 Point Coventry +1 Asian Handicap Best price available at 4/6 with bet365

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For daily football tips, predictions, and betting strategy head over to the Soccerbase free football betting tips section.

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