Weblog: The football punter

Corner the market in clash of styles

MASTERS in the art of the 1-0 win, this Atletico Madrid side is like watching George Graham’s Arsenal. Though I’m not entirely sure who’s got the Gus Caesar role in the Atletico side.

What they’d give for a fifth 1-0 win in a row when they visit Bayern Munich, a side who don’t tend to do 1-0s that often.

I love a match when you figure you know exactly what’s going to happen because it should make punting on it that much easier.

Bayern will have all the ball, press hard and carve out chance after chance. So they’re nailed on for most corners.

Atletico will sit deep, try to catch the Germans on the counter and commit disruptive fouls galore to the annoyance of the home faithful. And hopefully to the annoyance of the ref as well, because that should make them good things for most cards.

So what about a scoreline? Surely 0-1’s too obvious. You also get the idea that if Bayern get one it could be an absolute free-for-all.

I’ve got a feeling this isn’t going to quite go according to the script. Someone will get desperate, somewhere along the line, so I’m going over 2.5 at odds-against, Bayern to qualify and Diego Simeone to wind up with the kind of ban that even Luis Suarez has yet to endure.

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Match in Focus


B Munich v Atl Madrid

Home Win Draw Away Win
Key stats
  • Bayern have won 22 of their last 24 home games inside normal time
Expert verdict
Bayern were unable to break down a stubborn Atletico side last week and will have to work hard for the breakthrough in Bavaria. The hosts are unlikely to go for broke early on but will ramp up the pressure and can make their mark in the second half.