Weblog: The football punter

Premier League silly season in full swing

It's that time of the season when you have to put logic to one side and start banking on struggling teams raising their game.

I didn't worry about the long-term consequences of backing Leicester at odds-on to win a Premier League match on Saturday. I just lumped on and savoured the spectacle of another Newcastle capitulation.

I even had a look at Sunderland to beat Southampton but talked myself out of it on the grounds that I quite like my money and I'm not going to chuck it away backing Sunderland. Silly old me, eh?

So Monday's game between Hull and Arsenal should be a no-brainer, especially after the Tigers beat Liverpool last time out.

However, I'm still not entirely confident in my clever 'back rubbish teams blind' system.

And if I was a Premier League defender – stop sniggering – I'd be a lot more worried about facing Alexis Sanchez, Mesut Ozil and Olivier Giroud than whatever jokers Liverpool put out against Hull.

So the best bet could be for both teams to score.

Hull have been playing quite positively of late and caused Arsenal all sorts of problems from set pieces in the FA Cup final last year.

But the Gunners are in great nick so the Tigers – unlike several of their survival rivals on Saturday – may not be able to snatch a big three points (they're all big three points at this stage of the season).

Have a little tickle on the 2-1 Arsenal win and don't be put off by the fact that they're quite a good team.

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Match in Focus

20:00 TODAY SS1

Hull v Arsenal

Home Win Draw Away Win
Key stats
  • Chelsea and Southampton are the only teams to have kept a clean sheet against Arsenal domestically
Expert verdict
Hull’s upturn in form has come just in time but they are unlikely to be hold up against Arsenal, who are currently the league’s most smoothly functioning team. The Gunners look a good price to extend their six-match winning streak on the road.