Weblog: The football punter

Corner the market in clash of styles

MASTERS in the art of the 1-0 win, this Atletico Madrid side is like watching George Graham’s Arsenal. Though I’m not entirely sure who’s got the Gus Caesar role in the Atletico side.

What they’d give for a fifth 1-0 win in a row when they visit Bayern Munich, a side who don’t tend to do 1-0s that often.

I love a match when you figure you know exactly what’s going to happen because it should make punting on it that much easier.

Bayern will have all the ball, press hard and carve out chance after chance. So they’re nailed on for most corners.

Atletico will sit deep, try to catch the Germans on the counter and commit disruptive fouls galore to the annoyance of the home faithful. And hopefully to the annoyance of the ref as well, because that should make them good things for most cards.

So what about a scoreline? Surely 0-1’s too obvious. You also get the idea that if Bayern get one it could be an absolute free-for-all.

I’ve got a feeling this isn’t going to quite go according to the script. Someone will get desperate, somewhere along the line, so I’m going over 2.5 at odds-against, Bayern to qualify and Diego Simeone to wind up with the kind of ban that even Luis Suarez has yet to endure.

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Match in Focus

19:45 We 4May BTEU

Real Madrid v Man City

Home Win Draw Away Win
Key stats
  • Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last seven matches against English sides
Expert verdict
There was plenty of shadow boxing at the Etihad last Tuesday but the gloves could come off when Real Madrid host Man City in the second leg of their Champions League semi-final at the Bernabeu. Real were the main aggressors in Manchester despite the 0-0 draw and should reach the final at City's expense.