Weblog: The football punter

Tight tussle will suit Juve in fantastic finale

SO what does happen when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object?

No, I’ve no idea, either. Probably should have paid more attention at school but it’s not easy concentrating on physics when you’re trying to run a book every week on Year 11’s cross-country.

But it’s definitely a question worth posing ahead of a Champions League showdown between Real Madrid and Juventus. Real Madrid, the side who batter everybody and score goals for fun, against Juve, the side who don’t get battered by anybody and keep clean sheets for fun.

We’re in for some fun in Cardiff – and it’s not often you get to say that.

First things first, I fancy Juve. Good enough to play Barcelona twice and not concede a goal, this is one well-drilled defensive unit, who just don’t buckle. But they also carry a threat going forward.

Real are all about going forward. They have scored in every match for almost 14 months so it says a lot about what Juve bring to the party that both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are both odds-against.

But here’s a stat. Eight of Juventus’ 12 matches in the competition have produced two goals or fewer and throw in the magnitude of the occasion and I can’t see this being a goals feast.

Juventus are cute; cute enough to get this won by the odd goal. It’s a 1-0 Juventus win for me.

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Match in Focus

18:00 TODAY BT2

Guingamp v Lyon

Home Win Draw Away Win
Key stats
  • Guingamp have lost just one of their ten league matches this term
Expert verdict
Lyon were held at home to poor travellers Angers on Sunday and could struggle to bounce back at in-form Guingamp, who are unbeaten in six league matches. Only the dominant PSG have managed to win at the Stade de Roudourou this season and Lyon, who could be without the services of influential duo Betrand Traore and Mariano Diaz, look too short in their bid to repeat the feat.