Weblog: The football punter

Clarets can spur hosts to create goal glut at Lane

The Premier League weekend kicks off with Manchester City - minus Sergio Aguero, Vincent Kompany and Edin Dzeko - against Crystal Palace and it's so obviously going to finish 2-0 to City (Nasri and Lampard, if you're interested) that I can't even be bothered to have a bet on it.

Instead, I'm keeping my powder dry - whatever that means - to get stuck into both teams to score in Tottenham's 3pm clash with Burnley.

This fixture has a cast-iron guarantee of goalmouth action. Don't just take my word for it - check out the head-to-head record between Spurs and the Clarets elsewhere on this fine website.

Who can forget Tottenham's 8-1 win at White Hart Lane in 1930 or the 4-4 draw in north London 30 years later. And what about the 1963-64 season when the pair's two league meetings featured 14 goals - a 7-2 home win for Burnley and a 3-2 victory for Spurs.

You want fresher form than that? Last time Burnley were in the Premier League, in 2008-09, they beat Tottenham 4-2 at home and lost 5-0 at the Lane while the season before their two-legged League Cup semi-final produced ten goals (two of them, amazingly, scored by Roman Pavlyuchenko.

Don't tell me - you want even fresher form than that. You're pushing your luck, but I'm a patient man so here goes: Spurs have kept one clean sheet in their last nine league games and Burnley have scored in eight of their last ten.

Now to the only number that really matters - both teams to score at White Hart Lane is 10-11, which is an even nicer price if you stick it in a double with MK Dons to beat Oldham in League One.

Right, I'm going to settle down to enjoy a DVD of that 8-1 win for Tottenham in 1930.

Oh great, Robbie Savage is doing the half-time analysis. How is that even possible?


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Match in Focus


Mainz v B Munich

Home Win Draw Away Win
Key stats
  • Mainz have not won any of their last eight matches
Expert verdict
Mainz were unbeaten in the first two months of the Bundesliga but have been on the slide in recent weeks and are unlikely to turn the corner against Bayern Munich. All of Bayern's three draws have been on the road but they have won their last eight domestic games and should continue their relentless progress.