Free Football Betting Tips & Predictions: Best Bets for Sunday
Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.
A big part of finding value is using our expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.
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Sunday's Best Bets
Man City v West Ham
This number is just so inflated I have to oppose Man City. We've seen them go ahead and try to control games in recent weeks and they weren't that impressive against Tottenham. West Ham play a style that could potentially cause City problems with sitting in a low block and trying to hit them on the counter. They are also very good at set pieces, ranking top five in xG created. City would have covered this handicap just four times at home this season.
0.5 Points on West Ham +3 Asian Handicap Best price available at 3/4 with bet365
Liverpool v Wolves
Jurgen Klopp's farewell game but again this line is just way too high for Wolves. They have enough attack firepower to get on the scorehseet and cover this handicap with Hwang back in the lineup. We've seen the defence fall off since the title no longer became a realistic aim. They've conceded two or more in four straight games and haven't kept a clean sheet in ten.
0.5 Points on Wolves +2.5 Asian Handicap Best price available at 10/11 with bet365
Luton v Fulham
Fulham have been poor away from home all season with just three victories away from Craven Cottage. Luton need to win and hope results go their away to avoid relegation, so you'll get a proper effort from the Hatters. Fulham have recorded just one victory away from home against the bottom half, which was against Everton. Home advantage increases in this spot aswell with the extra to play for motivation.
1 Point on Luton +0.5 Asian Handicap Best price available at 1.87 with bet365
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