Free Football Betting Tips & Predictions: Best Bets for Monday

Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.

A big part of finding value is using our expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.

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Monday's Best Bets

Lecce v Udinese

Udinese are fighting for survival in Serie A and need to get something from this game. We've seen their games open up in recent weeks, with seven of their last eight seeing two or more goals. Lecce have solid attacking numbers at home and have scored in seven of their eight home games against sides in the bottom half. Udinese have kept just two clean sheets away from home in 11 games against sides outside the top six, so they are going to likely need to push to score if they want at least a point from the game. The first meeting ended 1-1 with 2.56 expected goals. 

1 Point on Over 2.0 Asian Goal Line Best price available at 8/11 with bet365

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