Aston Villa vs Newcastle Predictions & Betting Tips

Over the past eight games, Newcastle have been the worst defensive side in the Premier League, allowing 2.27 expected goals per game, which is 0.12 worse than Sheffield United. They'll now face a Villa side that has been dominant at Villa Park this season, scoring 29 goals in 10 games and creating 2.14 expected goals per match. Newcastle have struggled to keep the ball out of the net away from home all season. Liverpool scored four against them and created over seven expected goals, Spurs and Brighton scored three, and they held Man City to just one, but that was way back on opening day. It's not just the big sides that are having success against the Toon Army. Newcastle gave up 1.99 expected goals away at Luton and 1.80 at Everton. Villa will also be short-handed in defence without Digne, Mings, and Torres. They've only kept three clean sheets at Villa Park, and because Newcastle's defence has been so poor, they've had to attack, resulting in their last six games averaging 4.26 expected goals.

1.5 Points on Over 3 Asian Goal Line Best price available at 1.86 with bet365

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