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Free Football Betting Tips & Predictions: Best Bets for Sunday

Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.

A big part of finding value is using our expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.

Sunday's Best Bets

Manchester United v Liverpool

Liverpool's 2-1 win over Newcastle was their only win away at sides in the top half of the Premier League. They are winless in their last three trips to Old Trafford, including their 4-3 defeat just a couple of weeks ago in the FA Cup. Defensive injuries on both sides. A big motivational spot for both, so heightened home advantage for Manchester United with the home crowd.

1 Point on Manchester United +1 Asian Handicap Best price available at 10/11 with bet365

Wolfsburg v Borussia M'gladbach

A six-pointer at the foot of the Bundesliga gives us a good to play for a spot and an end-to-end game. Gladbach have seen over 2.5 in nine of their eleven games against sides in the bottom eight of the Bundesliga, four from five away. Wolfsburg have only played three home games against the bottom eight but have gone over in two from three. Gladbach won the first meeting 4-0, and there were 2.76 xG.

1 Point on Over 2.5 Goals Best price available at 4/6 with bet365

Cagliari v Atalanta

Cag have struggled all season against sides in the top half of Serie A, with 12 losses from 15 games home and away. They have seen over 2.5 goals and conceded two or more in five of seven home games in this spot. Atalanta have won seven of eight against sides in the bottom six and scored two or more in six of eight. Every game is a must-win spot for Cag with eight games to go.

1 Point on Over 2.5 Goals Best price available at 4/5 with bet365

Monza v Napoli

Monza have seen over 2.5 land in four of five home games against sides in the top eight of Serie A. They've conceded two or more in four and face a Napoli side that have dispatched sides in the bottom half. They've scored two or more and seen over 2.5 land in six of seven away games against sides in the bottom half of Serie A. Napoli haven't kept a clean sheet in their last nine Serie A games.

1 Point on Over 2.5 Goals Best price available at 4/5 with bet365

Best Bet Free Bets

Betfred - Bet £10, Get £50 in bonuses! 

New Betfred customers can get £50 in bonuses when they sign up here for a new account and get £10 on the game!

For daily football tips, predictions, and betting strategy head over to the Soccerbase free football betting tips section.

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