Free Football Betting Tips & Predictions: Best Bets for Wednesday

Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.

A big part of finding value is using our expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.

Wednesday's Best Bets

Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich

The game was pretty even on expected goals with the xG ending 2.02-1.41. If we look at Real Madrid's UCL home form. They have scored 12 in 5 but conceded in 3, which all came against elite opposition. All five matches have seen over 3 expected goals. Tchouaméni is a doubt with a foot injury, which dents their defensive strength. Bayern's UCL away form is also impressive with 8 goals. Their only blank came at Lazio, where they had a 67th-minute red card. They have created over 1.6 expected goals in every game, including away at Arsenal. Like Madrid, they've also been leaky at the back, conceding in 4 out of 5. They've also seen over 3 xG land in 4 out of 5.

1 Point on Over 3.0 Asian Goal Line Best price available at 1.99 with bet365

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