Luton vs Brighton Predictions & Betting Tips

Don't be put off by Brighton's back-to-back 0-0's in this matchup. They created over 2.00 expected goals in both games, and each game saw close to three expected goals. Luton are also 19th in expected goals allowed, and 17th in goals conceded. Brighton also have a signicant advantage on set pieces. The Hatters are 17th in xG conceded from set pieces, and Brighton are 6th in xG created, so I'm confident the Brighton attack will be able to score against the Hatters. Luton have been good at home in attack and have scored in nine of ten. The only teams they didn't create over 1.00 expected goal at home against are Tottenham, Liverpool, Arsenal, and Man City. Brighton have kept just one clean sheet away from home this season and two in 21 games overall. There were 4.53 expected goals in the first meeting between these two sides in a 4-1 Brighton victory on opening day.

1 Point on Over 2.75 Asian Goal Line Best price available at 1.83 with bet365

0.5 Points on Over 3.5 Goals Best price available at 2.62 with bet365

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