Manchester City v Burnley Predictions & Betting Tips

Manchester City will have Erling Haaland and Kevin De Bruyne both available for the first time since the opening day fixture, which actually came against the Clarets. Burnley's injury situation isn't as clear. Kompany was was asked whether Taylor, Berge, Beyer, Ramsey and Delcroix would return to which he replied "We'll see, we'll see... there will be some positive news in there". Chelsea loanee David Fofana will likely start in defence but it'll be a tough task for a short-handed Burnley back line facing a fully fit Man City attack. I think there is a value in over 3.5 goals at 1.90. There are more advantages with City in possession with set pieces. Burnley rank dead last in the Premier League for expected goals conceded against set pieces and City are currently ninth in xG created but those numbers are bound to improve with KDB standing over the ball. For all the advantages that City have going forward, they have shown a tendency to switch off at the back with just two clean sheets in five home games against teams in the bottom half. If you widen it to away games, it's three in eight. Burnley have scored in nine of ten away and that includes one at Arsenal and two at Aston Villa. 

1 Point on Over 3.5 Goals Best price available at 1.90 with bet365

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