Sunday's free football betting tips and predictions: Back goals on Sunday in this 10/1 accumulator!
My expected goals model data is accessible via this link for free, and covers over 10 leagues.
My model assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance.
All expected goals data referenced in this article is from my own model data.
Wolfsburg v Borussia M'gladbach
A six-pointer at the foot of the Bundesliga gives us a good to play for a spot and an end-to-end game. Gladbach have seen over 2.5 in nine of their eleven games against sides in the bottom eight of the Bundesliga, four from five away. Wolfsburg have only played three home games against the bottom eight but have gone over in two from three. Gladbach won the first meeting 4-0, and there were 2.76 xG.
Cagliari v Atalanta
Cag have struggled all season against sides in the top half of Serie A, with 12 losses from 15 games home and away. They have seen over 2.5 goals and conceded two or more in five of seven home games in this spot. Atalanta have won seven of eight against sides in the bottom six and scored two or more in six of eight. Every game is a must-win spot for Cag with eight games to go.
Monza v Napoli
Monza have seen over 2.5 land in four of five home games against sides in the top eight of Serie A. They've conceded two or more in four and face a Napoli side that have dispatched sides in the bottom half. They've scored two or more and seen over 2.5 land in six of seven away games against sides in the bottom half of Serie A. Napoli haven't kept a clean sheet in their last nine Serie A games.
Sheffield Utd v Chelsea
Chelsea have seen over 3.5 goals in eight of their last ten Premier League matches, which coincides with Thiago Silva being frozen out of the team after his wife's comments. Every game is a must-win for the Blades, and they've seen over 3.5 land in four straight and nine of their last ten.
10/1 Accumulator
Over 2.5 Goals - Wolfsburg v Borussia M'gladbach
Over 2.5 Goals - Monza v Napoli
Over 2.5 Goals - Cagliari v Atalanta
Over 3.5 Goals - Sheffield Utd v Chelsea
£10 returns £111.24 with CopyBet
Accumulator Free Bets
CopyBet - Bet £10, Get £50!
Get £50 in free bets when you sign up here to CopyBet and bet £10 at CopyBet! One of the best promotions around from a new UK bookmaker.
For daily football tips, predictions, and betting strategy head over to the Soccerbase free football betting tips section.
