Free Football Betting Tips: Best Bets for Sunday
Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.
A big part of finding value is using our expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.
Sunday's Best Bets
Roma v Sassuolo
Roma are now eight out of eight for games over 2.5 under Daniele De Rossi. They'll now face a Sassuolo side that ranks 18th in goals allowed and 16th in xG allowed. Both of these sides' home/away games average over 2.70 expected goals and this should be another game that sails over 2.5. Roma have played four home games in Serie A under De Rossi that have finished 2-1, 4-0, 2-4, and 3-2.
1.5 Points on Over 2.5 Goals Best price available at 5/6 with bet365
PSV v Twente
PSV have scored three or more in four of their six home games against sides in the top half of the Eredivisie. They've seen three or more goals against the other top four sides in all four games, three of which came away from home. They've only played three home games against sides in the top six, and they've finished 2-2, 5-2, and 4-0. They beat Twente 3-0 away from home in the first meeting but are playing following a midweek Champions League game in Dortmund, so tired legs could open the door for Twente to get on the score sheet. They've conceded in three from six games following a midweek Champions League game.
1.5 Points on Over 2.5 Goals Best price available at 5/6 with bet365
Best Bet Free Bets
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For daily football tips, predictions, and betting strategy head over to the Soccerbase free football betting tips section.
