Forest have won just once in their last eight games and are listed as 6/5 favourites at home to Crystal Palace. This coincides with Taiwo Awoniyi's injury. Forest have won just two games without him in the starting lineup this season, and their win rate drops from 31% with him to 9% without him. He's set to miss this weekend's game against Palace, but Chris Wood is expected to return from injury. Palace have been better going forward under Oliver Glasner, scoring in all three - four if you want to include the game against Everton, where he was in the stands. Forest have kept just one clean sheet in 12 under Nuno, which came against West Ham, where they had a 71st-minute red card. With Forest missing Awoniyi and Glasner given two weeks to install more of his philosophy into this Palace side, I expect them to avoid defeat in an entertaining game.

1 Point on Crystal Palace Double Chance (Win or Draw) Best price available at 4/6 with bet365

1 Point on Over 2.25 Asian Goal Line Best price available at 1.88 with bet365

Bournemouth vs Everton

Bournemouth have scored two or more in six of their eight home games against sides in the bottom half of the Premier League. Everton have conceded two or more in seven of ten against sides outside of the bottom six. They've averaged 2.14 expected goals against in their last five away games. Bournemouth have an array of attacking talent but injuries to Senesi, Kelly, and Aarons is opening games up forcing them to attack and try to outscore their opponents because they can't keep the ball out of their own net. The Cherries have seen four or more goals in four of their last six games.

1 Point on Bournemouth Over 1.5 Team Goals Best price available at 10/11 with BetMGM

Sheffield United vs Fulham

Fulham are a side with contrasting home/away splits. They've won just two of 14 away but nine of 15 at Craven Cottage. They have played a tougher-than-average away schedule, facing just five teams in the bottom half of the Premier League, but they have won just one of those games. They have won the expected goals battle in four, but their margin of victory is at most 0.65, which came against Burnley. Sheffield United have been better under Wilder. They beat Brentford 1-0, drew 2-2 with West Ham and lost 2-3 to Luton but won the xG battle in all three games. I think Fulham are being overvalued in this spot, and I'm having a small bet on the Blades to keep it close.

0.5 Points on Sheffield United +0.75 Asian Handicap Best price available at 20/21 with bet365

Brentford vs Manchester United

Brentford have scored in nine of ten since Ivan Toney's return to the lineup, with their only blank coming away at Manchester City. However, the Bees can't keep the ball out of their own net and have gone on to lose seven of those matches, conceding 23 goals. Brentford should have some joy going forward against a Manchester United side that has conceded 12 goals in their last six having conceded in six straight. United also rank dead-last in the Premier League in xG conceded from set pieces, which is a big strength for Brentford who rank third in xG created from set pieces. Brentford have seen three or more goals in six of their seven home games against sides in the top half of the Premier League and have also conceded two or more in six.

1 Point on Over 3.00 Asian Goal Line Best price available at 1.88 with bet365

Barcelona vs Las Palmas

Las Palmas have failed to score in each of their six away games against sides in the top eight of La Liga. They've conceded a single goal in four and only seen three or more in one. They are well-coached and should cause problems for the Barcelona attack trying to break them down. It took a 93rd-minute penalty to defeat them 2-1 at home in a game where Barca had just five shots on target. Las Palmas have seen over 2.5 goals in just three of their 14 away games this season, and this will be played on neutral ground.

1 Point on Las Palmas +1.75 Asian Handicap Best price available at 1.88 with bet365

1 Point on Under 3.25 Asian Goal Line Best price available at 1.90 with bet365