Free Football Betting Tips & Predictions: Best Bets for Tuesday
Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.
A big part of finding value is using our expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.
Tuesday's Best Bets
Real Madrid v Man City
This fixture finished 1-1 last season in the first leg, and I can see both teams looking to keep it tight. Pep will likely play Silva and Grealish as he does in these spots, looking to control the game and keep possession. Real Madrid are good defensively in wide areas, with Mendy and Carvajal able to nullify the attacking threat of City's wide men. Rudiger back in central defence is a big plus against Haaland. Both teams are probably OK with a draw, so the game may get stuck at 1-1.
1 Point on Under 2.75 Asian Goal Line Best price available at 17/20 with bet365
Arsenal v Bayern Munich
Arsenal have been fantastic this season, and Bayern, well, haven't. However, I'm buying Bayern in this spot and price. By far, the worst Arsenal have looked this season was in the last round against Porto, where they mustered up just four shots on target over 180 minutes. Bayern have performed well in this competition and rank third in net expected goal difference per 90. They have a group of players and manager that have been in this spot before, so they know what is required.
1 Point on Bayern Munich +1 Asian Handicap Best price available at 4/6 with bet365
Sheffield Wednesday v Norwich
A good to play for spot with the Canaries looking to secure a playoff spot and Wednesday looking to survive relegation. Norwich have averaged 3.60 goals per game on the road this season and have gone over 2.5 in eight of ten away against the bottom half. Wednesday have conceded two or more in three of six against the top eight at home. Norwich have gone over 2.5 in all six games in which they have been -0.25 favourites in the Asian Handicap market.
1 Point on Over 2.5 Goals Best price available at 20/21 with bet365
Best Bet Free Bets
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For daily football tips, predictions, and betting strategy head over to the Soccerbase free football betting tips section.
