England vs Netherlands Predictions, Betting Tips & Match Preview

Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.

A big part of finding value is using our Euro 2024 expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.


Betfred Offer

Wednesday's Best Bets

England v Netherlands

England may have looked weak so far in this tournament, but the Netherlands could be the perfect opponent for them to make it to the final. In recent times, the Netherlands have an abysmal record when punching up against the bigger nations. Over the past 18 months leading up to the tournament, they've lost to France twice (0-4 and 1-2), Italy 2-3, Croatia 2-4, and Germany 1-2. They've also lost 3-2 to Austria and drew 0-0 with France in Germany. England have the defensive quality in wide areas to stop the Netherlands attack, and the Netherlands don't have a strong enough defence to shut England out. They've already conceded to Poland, Turkey, and Austria twice.

1 Point on England Draw No Bet Best price available at 5/6 with bet365

When the quality of competition increases, so does Dumfries' foul count. Over the past 18 months, his foul counts read France (4 and 2), Germany (2), Croatia (2), and Italy (4). At the World Cup, in the quarter-final against Argentina, he committed a whopping six fouls and was sent off. This is mainly due to the Netherlands' tactical plan and drop in possession to an average of 48% over those seven matches.

1 Point on Denzel Dumfries Over 1.5 Fouls Committed Best price available at 10/11 with bet365

Along the same lines, for the tactical side of things, this bet is overpriced given how many fouls Kane and Bellingham draw from central areas. De Vrij has committed a foul in four of his five starts at the Euros. England are the most fouled team in the tournament. They have faced a back four twice in Germany, and both centrebacks committed at least one foul in both games. In the other matches, facing a back three, only two of the nine defenders didn't commit a foul. 

1 Point on De Vrij 1+ Fouls Committed  Best price available 5/6 with Paddy Power, and 5/6with Betfair

Join the free tips Telegram for exclusive Bet Builder's posted after team news!

Euro 2024 Free Bets


Bet365 Offer



CopyBet Offer



BetMGM Offer


William Hill

WH Offer


For daily football tips, predictions, and betting strategy head over to the Soccerbase free football betting tips section.


Agonising over Aberdeen?
Yearning for Yeovil? Our database is crammed with every football club you could possibly wish for


A plethora of players ranging from Adebayor to Zamora. All you need to know to find out who is the best bet to score next


Whether it's the Johnstone's Paint Trophy or the Champions League, Soccerbase will ensure you don't experience a big cup upset


Card-happy control freak?
Astute arbiter? Make the right decision on any referee with the help of our specialist pages


From Allardyce to Zola, our massive manager database, with histories and win ratios, is sure to get your vote of confidence
The Football Site

Like on Facebook