England vs Slovenia Predictions & Betting Tips for Euro 2024

BY SOCCERBASE STAFF10:45 AM 25 JUNE 2024

Will we see a better performance out of England? A win would secure Gareth Southgate's men a top-of-the-group finish in Group C. Slovenia would qualify for the Round of 16 with a win.

2 best bets and research below:

Bet 1 - Harry Kane Under 2.5 Shots - 0.5 Points at Best price available at 6/5 with bet365

A daunting position to take against an inferior opponent, but the price is too appealing.

Kane has had 3+ shots in just 2 of 9 starts in qualifying and Euros games so far. Those came against Malta away (3) and Ukraine at home (4). He's visibly dropping deeper to get involved in the play.

A point secures England top of the group, and I can't see Southgate changing his negative approach in the final game, even if he is expected to change personnel.

Kane doesn't look right to me. He was replaced by Watkins on 70 minutes against Denmark, who was bright. Bayern boss Thomas Tuchel came out last month and said Kane was receiving daily treatment for a back injury.

This is England's third match in 10 days, so I wouldn't be surprised to see his minutes managed for the knockout stages.

Bet 2 - Adam Cerin Over 0.5 Shots - 0.5 Points at Best price available at 11/8 with bet365

Cerin isn't a high-volume shooter, but he's consistent. He's had a shot in both Euro 2024 games so far and in six of ten in qualifying.

England have allowed 55% of their shots in the centre of the pitch and Slovenia have taken 64% of their shots centrally.

England gave up five shots to Hojbjerg and two to Hjulmand, who scored from long range. Cerin also scored against Portugal back in March.

If England go 1-0 up, which is likely given they are -1.5 favourites in the Asian Handicap market. I then expect England to sit back and invite Slovenia to shoot.

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