Euro 2024 Predictions: 9/1 Lowest scoring team bet

Our final outright selection is on the lowest-scoring team. Albania skews the market as the 3/1 favourites playing in Group B alongside Spain, Italy, and Croatia. However, if Albania lose to Italy, they may be forced to come out of their low block and have to try to score if they wish to advance. Although this is a big step up in class, Albania scored in six of eight in qualifying and rank 10th in xG from set pieces and will face set piece defences that rank 13th, 18th, and 20th in xG allowed from set pieces.

Georgia have the lowest goals per game, the lowest xG created and were the only side with a negative Net xG in qualifying. The draw sets up with them playing Turkey first who allowed 0.90 goals per game in qualifying and 1.1 xGA. Things are usually tighter during the first round of games, so I can't see them coming out of their defensive shape too much, even if they are trailing by a single goal. This means they'll likely need to score against better defences in games two and three. Portugal kept nine clean sheets in ten qualifiers, and Czechia also kept a clean sheet in 50%.

Lowest scoring team - Georgia  - 0.25 Points at 9/1 with bet365

Read about our bankroll management and staking plan.

We've put together a Euro 2024 Betting Data Thread on Twitter, which covers a range of data from the qualifiers and the last two years of competitive matches and friendlies.

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For daily football tips, predictions, and betting strategy head over to the Soccerbase free football betting tips section.


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