Everton vs Crystal Palace Predictions & Betting Tips

Even though Palace are ravaged by injuries, I don't see any value in backing Everton at 1.70. The Toffees closed at 1.67 at home against Luton in September, so I don't think this price is getting any shorter. However, there is a bit of value on over 2.5 goals at 2.10 with bet365. Chris Richards looks likely to fill in at centre back for Palace. In the three games he's played there this season, they've conceded 3, 5, and 3. Palace have also conceded an average of 1.89 expected goals away from home, which includes 1.74 to West Ham and 1.49 to Burnley. While Palace will be without Eze and Olise, they should still be able to score against an Everton side that has held their opposition to under 1.00 expected goals just once at home (Luton 0.93). The Toffees have been good going forward in these spots and have averaged 1.82 expected goals in four home games against sides in the bottom half. A smaller bet is advised because we are at the mercy of these two sides' finishing quality, and Everton have scored 26 from 32.88 expected this season. My expected goals model data is accessible via this link for free and covers over ten leagues. My model assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance.

0.5 Points on Over 2.5 Goals Best price available at 2.10 with bet365

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