Free Football Betting Tips & Predictions: Best Bets for Wednesday

Our best bets column is where you can find our football expert's best value bets of the day. A value bet is where the betting odds on offer are higher than they should be, which is how you win over the long term in any form of betting.

A big part of finding value is using our expected goals model data, which assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance. This data, tactical analysis, and individual player matchups are where we find value and gain an edge over the bookmakers.

Wednesday's Best Bets

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle

We bet over 2.5 on Sunday, and we're going back in tonight. Palace have had Olise and Eze start together in just six games so far this season. The score lines read 2-1, 2-1, 3-1, 3-2, 0-1, and 5-2. The 0-1 was last away against Liverpool. I have no idea how that game ended 0-1 when there were 3.48 expected goals; I expect Darwin Nunez will have a better idea. Newcastle have seen three or more goals in six of their last eight and 11 of their 15 away games. The Toon Army have also won just four on their travels, two of which came at Sheffield United and Forest. 

0.5 Points on Crystal Palace +0.5 Asian Handicap Best price available at 4/6 with bet365

1 Point on Over 3.0 Asian Goal Line Best price available at 10/11 with bet365

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