Liverpool vs Brighton Predictions & Betting Tips
Roberto De Zerbi is undefeated against Liverpool with two draws and a 3-0 victory. The first meeting between these two sides ended in a 2-2 draw at the Amex and I think Brighton are being undervalued against the Reds. Liverpool have only won two of five at home against top eight clubs and will be without Trent and Alisson, Konate is expected to return. Joao Pedro is expected to return for the Seagulls. In games without the Brazilian, their winrate has dropped to 35% compared to 55% with him in the starting lineup. I think there's value in backing Brighton +1.5 Asian Handicap. They would have covered in four of six against the top eight sides away from home, with Arsenal and Villa being the only losses. If we look at the expected goal numbers for these games, they would have covered against Villa (-0.52 xG) and the Arsenal game landed right around the handicap at -1.56.
0.5 Points on Brighton +1.5 Asian Handicap Best price available at 21/20 with BetMGM
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