Wolves v Burnley

Wolves have scored in 13 of their 14 games this season and have also conceded in the same number. Burnley have scored in four of their six away games, including all three against bottom eight sides. Burnley have allowed an average of 1.80 expected goals against away from home. If you remove their game against Man City, Wolves have averaged 1.40 expected goals created at home against a very difficult set of opponents. They have conceded in 86% of games this season.

Aston Villa v Man City

Villa have scored three or more in all six home games this season, including a 6-1 win over Brighton. Man City have conceded in five of their seven away games, which includes goals against Sheffield United and Wolves. Man City didn't keep a clean sheet away from home against any side in the top half of the table last season. Villa scored in 18 out 20 home games, including every game against the top half.

Crystal Palace v Bournemouth

Bournemouth have won three of their last five games. They also picked up a draw at home against Villa last time out and things are looking up for the Cherries. Bournemouth have been the third best team in the league in terms of expected goal difference over the last four games. Palace on the other hand, have been hit with the injury bug (again) and have four losses, a draw and a win over Burnley in their last six. Back Bournemouth to avoid defeat.

Manchester United v Chelsea

Manchester United were atrocious in their 1-0 defeat against Newcastle. It looked like watching the game that ten Haag had really lost the dressing room and the players weren't tracking back or putting effort in. Yesterday, it was announced by Sky Sports that there's a real divide in the dressing room surrounding ten Haag's management style. I think Chelsea can capitalise on this and will be confident following their draw against Man City and wins over Brighton and Spurs. United have also lost all five of their matches against teams in the top eight.

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