Welcome to the Premier League review. This column aims to go beyond the final score and see if we can identify information that will help with future betting opportunities.

We'll analyse expected goals, tactics, market moves and player performances to try and gain an edge in the Premier League betting markets.

🏆 Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle

📊 Expected Goals: 0.94-2.45

News emerged prematch of a virus in the Spurs dressing room, and they began as if still under the weather. They created 0.60 of their 0.94 xG in the second half, with Son, Maddison, and Bissouma only introduced after the hour mark.

Botman returned to the lineup for the Toon Army, but it’s hard to gauge his impact against a depleted Spurs attack. Third-choice goalkeeper Brandon Austin, however, delivered a commendable performance under challenging circumstances.

📉 Market Moves: Big move on Newcastle win - 2.22 > 1.79 (19.37%).

✍️ Player Notes: Isak has nine goals and two assists in his last eight Premier League games. Botman made 3 fouls in his first game back.

🏆 Aston Villa 2-1 Leicester

📊 Expected Goals: 1.56-0.41

An extremely dull first half produced just four shots with a combined xG of 0.21, which could be attributed to Rogers and Duran missing out, and McGinn being forced off after 19 minutes. Despite the setbacks, Villa found their rhythm in the second half, showing more intent and securing a well-earned three points. 

Leicester improved defensively but sacrificed their attacking output, leaving them unable to challenge Villa meaningfully.

📉 Market Moves: Small move on Over 2.5 - 1.50 > 1.43 (4.67%).

✍️ Player Notes: McGinn injured after 19 minutes. Buendia took three shots in 15 minutes, could we see him get some game time soon? 

Vestergaard went off injured for Leicester. Jordan Ayew continues to be a foul winning machine - 3,7,2,0,2 in his last five.

🏆 Bournemouth 1-0 Everton

📊 Expected Goals: 1.84-0.71

Another game, another game where Everton fail to score. That’s six blanks in their last eight games. It’s hard to score when you don’t register a single shot on target. 

Bournemouth are one of the biggest xG underperformers over the first half of the season, so we should see them climb the table.

📉 Market Moves: A very quiet market with no moves of note.

✍️ Player Notes: Ouattara has shot counts of 4,5,0,5 since coming into the starting lineup due to Tavernier’s injury. 

Mangala continues to have shots playing in an #8 role for Everton. He was one of our best bets on Saturday that won after two minutes. 

🏆 Crystal Palace 1-1 Chelsea

📊 Expected Goals: 1.08-1.24

Chelsea’s slump continues with no wins in four. Are sides starting to figure Maresca out? The Blues have two clean sheets in their last 15 Premier League games and started 18 year old Josh Acheampong at centre-back. 

It’s quite the turnaround for Glasner’s Palace who are now undefeated in ten of their previous 12.

📉 Market Moves: A small move for over 2.5 - 1.60 > 1.51 (5.63%).

✍️ Player Notes: Daniel Munoz was extremely advanced. He had more touches in Chelsea’s box (4) than both Sarr (2) and Mateta (3). 

Caicedo has won two or more fouls in five of his previous six games since dropping deeper. Eze has 10 shots in his last two games.

🏆 Man City 4-1 West Ham

📊 Expected Goals: 1.91-1.37

Kevin De Bruyne started his second successive game for City, who secured a 4-1 victory. City boast a 64% win rate in games he’s started this season, compared to just 33% without him. However, the scoreline flattered City.

West Ham’s defensive struggles persist. Todibo’s injury looked concerning, adding to their woes, while Emerson also missed out through injury.

📉 Market Moves: A big move for Man City in the Asian Handicap market, opening at -1.5 at  2.06 to closing -2 at odds of 1.93.

✍️ Player Notes: Rico Lewis registered a shot playing at RB in a 4-1-4-1; he’s been odds against for a shot in recent weeks. 

Paqueta played in the number 10 role in a 4-2-3-1 and registed three shots. Fullkrug played 90 minutes and scored.

🏆 Southampton 0-5 Brentford

📊 Expected Goals: 0.29-4.46

A dismal display from Saints, registering one shot on target at home to one of the league’s worst defences. They have lost all three of Ivan Juric’s games in charge, failing to score in two. 

Brentford pick up their first win away from home.

📉 Market Moves: A big move for Brentford win - 2.41 > 2.16 (10.37%).

✍️ Player Notes: Wissa registered a whopping eight shots, five on target. 

Kyle Walker-Peters played on the left hand side of a 3-4-3 and registered three shots, the highest mark of any Southampton player.

🏆 Brighton 1-1 Arsenal

📊 Expected Goals: 1.52-0.88

Controversial penalty or not, neither side created much from open play - 0.62 xG and 0.44 xG. The market was bang on with a big move on under 2.5. 

Brighton are without a win in eight Premier League games, although they’ve only lost two of them. 

Nwaneri went off injured after scoring. Let’s see if we get the usual press conference curveballs from Arteta on his fitness.

📉 Market Moves: A big move for under 2.5 - 2.1 > 1.88 (10.38%).

✍️ Player Notes: Merino is good for fouls anytime he starts against a good side, he picked up three against Brighton. 

Joao Pedro has 10 goal involvements (five goals, five assists) in his last 13 Premier League appearances.

🏆 Fulham 2-2 Ipswich

📊 Expected Goals: 2.24-1.59

Ipswich set up in a 5-4-1 again, which made them very hard to break down. Fulham created 0.29 xG from open play. The Tractor Boys also created just 0.80 from open play but a penalty for each side saw this game have goals. Ipswich face another very attacking side in Brighton next, so I expect them to adopt the same approach. Brighton corners could provide some value.

📉 Market Moves: A decent move for under 2.5 - 2.1 > 1.88 (5.45%).

✍️ Player Notes: Harry Wilson did the business for our best bets with three shots. He’s registered 3,4,4,4,1 in his five starts this season. 

Liam Delap has won multiple fouls in all three games in this new system playing as a target man - 3,3,2.

🏆 Liverpool 2-2 Man Utd

📊 Expected Goals: 2.85-1.05

1.60-0.88 xG from open play. A fantastic game to watch, though I felt the match was closer than the post-game xG suggests. 

United need to be better defensively if they want to win football matches. They’ve conceded two or more in six of their last seven games. 

Liverpool will be glad to have Jota back starting soon.

📉 Market Moves: Man Utd took money in the Asian Handicap market, going from +1.75 at 1.92 to closing +1.5 at 1.97. Under 2.5 also took money - 2.88 > 2.62 (9.03%).

✍️ Player Notes: Trent was clearly targeted, with 54% of the Man Utd attacks coming down his side. His defensive vulnerability showed, and he picked up two fouls for the first time this season. One to keep in the back of your mind with the Champions League returning in February, along with games against City, Newcastle, and Tottenham. 

Amorim’s wingbacks continue to have shots. Both were over even money for a single shot yesterday and registered two (Dalot) and one (Mazraoui).