Wolves v Nottingham Forest

Wolves have played the hardest home schedule of any side in the Premier League. They had faced six of the top eight before their 1-0 win over Burnley. They'd only suffered two defeats over that run aswell. Forest have lost six of their eight away games and created just 0.54 expected goals in their 5-0 defeat at Fulham in the week. Regular readers will know that they are a completely different team without Awoniyi, so i'm taking them on again here. 

Brighton v Burnley

Neither of these defences has kept a clean sheet in their respective home/away fixtures. Brighton have more defensive injuries, which isn't what you want on short rest. This game should be high tempo with both teams looking to press and cause high turnovers against the other trying to play out at the back. We've seen Burnley games explode against teams that press well - 3-1 against Arsenal, 5-2 against Spurs, and 4-1 against Chelsea.

Rotherham v Swansea

The Millers have been respectable at home losing just two of their nine matches. They face managerless Swansea who have lost five of their nine away games. Rotherham have scored in every home game and conceded in all but one. The Swans have found the back of the net in eight of nine away and conceded in seven.

Aston Villa v Arsenal

Villa have won all seven home games this season, including their impressive win over a depleted City side. They'll have a much tougher game against a full strength Arsenal side on Saturday evening. Arsenal have only played two sides away from home in the top half this season and haven't kept a clean sheet or won. Last season away from home against top eight sides they conceded two or more in five of seven. They also scored two or more in five of seven. Villa scored at  home against every top six side last season and conceded to five of them, seeing over 2.5 land in all six matches. This fixture ended 2-4 last season.

Borussia Dortmund v RB Leipzig

Dortmund haven't kept a clean sheet against any of the top six sides they've faced this season and neither have Leipzig. They've started playing much better in recent weeks with a 1-1 draw against Leverkusen and a 3-1 away win in Milan. Leipzig have conceded in their last seven away games and they've seen over 2.5 land in 67% of Bundesliga matches. Dortmund's first choice keeper is also suspended. This fixture ended 2-1 last season and 1-4 the year before.

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