Frosinone have the highest total goals per game in Serie A at 3.43. They face a Lecce side with the fourth-worst defence in Serie A, allowing 1.65 goals per game. Frosinone have seen over 2.5 land in all six home games against sides in the bottom half and over 3.5 land in three. Lecce have seen both teams find the back of the net in all five against sides in the bottom half, so we should be in for more goals and over 2.5 looks great value at 20/21.

PSV v Feyenoord

PSV have seen over 2.5 land in three of four away at the big four sides in Holland, which includes the first meeting at Feyenoord, which ended in a 2-1 away win for PSV with 3.12 xG. They beat Ajax 5-2 and are yet to play the other three. Feyenoord's numbers away from home have been down due to European competition, which included their last away game against AZ (0-1). Now they are out, we should see them return to normal. They had averaged 2.53 xG created away from home before last week. They've also seen over 2.5 land at both Twente and Ajax. 

Atalanta v Bologna

Atalanta average 3.05 expected goals per home game and have seen over 2.5 land in 62%. They have the second-best expected goals created in Serie A and have scored two or more in nine of 13 at home. Bologna have drastic home/away splits in their results with 11 wins from 14 at home and just two in 12 away. They've seen over 2.5 land in four of five away against top half teams and conceded two in three. 21/20 for over 2.5 presents a nice bit of value. 

Napoli v Juventus

Napoli have completely lost their way this season without Luciano Spalletti. They've won just two games against sides outside the bottom seven, drawn six, and lost eight. They were impressive in their 6-1 victory over Sassuolo midweek, but this is a different test, and I can't be having them as favourites over a Juve side that have lost just three games all year, one of which was away at Inter.

10/1 Accumulator

Over 2.5 Goals - Frosinone v Lecce 

Over 2.5 Goals - PSV v Feyenoord

Over 2.5 Goals - Atalanta v Bologna

Juventus Double Chance (Win or Draw) at Napoli

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