Thursday's Football Accumulator Tips: Brighton to feature in another goal-fest 16/1 acca 

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We were agonisingly close to landing yesterday's 16/1 accumulator. Leicester conceded a 93rd-minute equaliser to draw 1-1 and destroy our hopes of landing another acca. We did go five winners from five in our bankroll builder bets though!

16/1 Accumulator

Over 2.5 Goals - AEK Athens v Brighton 

Over 2.5 Goals - Molde v Qarabag

Over 2.5 Goals - Marseille v Ajax

Rennes Win at Maccabi Haifa

Lille Win at Olimpija Ljubljana

Ferencvarosi Win at FK Cukaricki

£10 returns £171.33 with bet365 

AEK Athens v Brighton

A must-win game for Brighton if they want to finish top of their group given they host Marseille in the final round. The first leg finished 3-2 to the home side in a game that featured 27 shots and over 3.50 expected goals. AEK also need to push for the win if they are to have any shot at qualifying for the knockout stages.

Molde v Qarabag

Both teams sit on six points in Group H with the winner of this match likely heading to the knockout stages. Qarabag play Leverkusen in the final round, so they will need to push for a win here. They created over 2.50 expected goals at home against Molde in a 1-0 victory that was at a neutral ground and featured 3.40 expected goals. Molde have seen over 2.5 land in all other Europe League group stage matches. They haven't kept a clean sheet and conceded over 1 expected goal in each match. I expect this game to be back-and-fourth.

Marseille v Ajax

Ajax need to win both games if they are to have an outside shot at qualifying for the knockouts or even the Europa Conference League for that matter. Marseille haven't kept a clean sheet in either home game. Ajax created over two expected goals in the first leg that ended 3-3 with over four expected goals in the match.

Maccabi Haifa v Rennes

Neutral ground matchup between Rennes and Maccabi Haifa. Rennes sit top of the group and beat them 3-0 at home with an expected goal difference of over 2.0.

Olimpija Ljubljana v Lille

Olimpija lost 1-0 at home to Slovan Bratislava and 2-0 away to Lille in the first leg in a game the French side won the xG battle by over 1.50. Lille need a win to secure top spot in the knockout stages, which sends them through to the quarter-finals.

FK Cukaricki v Ferencvarosi 

Another neutral ground game where the away side won the first meeting 3-1 with an expected goal difference of over 1.50. Ferencvarosi need to win to secure knockout qualification.

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