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Man United vs. Crystal Palace

Manchester United have a whole host of defensive injuries at the moment, which explains their 1.76 expected goals against number in the Premier League. Palace have found the net in 67% of games this season and in their last four games against Manchester United.

Bradford vs. Middlesbrough

According to our expected goal difference model, Middlesbrough are the fourth best team in the Championship. We saw some of the good performances turn into results in Saturday's 3-1 with over Southampton. Back Boro to continue that form with a win over Bradford.

Sevilla vs. Almeria

Both teams have found the back of the net in five out six games for Almeria. They haven't kept a clean sheet but have scored in five and found the net against Real Madrid, Villarreal and Celta Vigo. Sevilla have conceded against Alaves, Girona and Alaves already this season.

Juventus vs. Lecce

I've been banging the Lecce overs drum for a while with their aggressive style of play this season resulting in goals. They've found the back of the net in all five games and remain unbeat this season. They've scored two in three of those five games against some good competition in Fiorentina and Lazio. Juve have scored in every game aswell and have scored two or more in four of their five games.

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