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Galatasaray v Man United

This game is pivotal for both sides, especially Man United given they play Bayern on the final match day. We saw this game turn into a bit of a basketball match in the first leg, which ended 3-2 to the Turkish side at Old Trafford. There were over 30 shots and four expected goals. I expect this match to produce similar.

For this leg to win we need four or more goals in the game. If there are three we will receive a refund and the accumulator will continue but be paid out at reduced odds if all other legs win.

Sevilla v PSV

Sevilla haven't won a league or Champions League match since September against bottom of the table Almeria. PSV dominated the first game with 29 shots and won the expected goals battle by over 1.00 xG. Sevilla scored two goals from two shots on target. PSV need to win here given they host Arsenal in the final matchday and I think there's value on them draw no bet.

Ipswich v Millwall

Ipswich have struggled away from home in recent games with a loss and two draws against struggling sides. However, their home form remains impressive with seven wins from eight games. They've scored two or more in every home game and three or more in six. The Tractor Boys have also conceded two or more in six. Millwall have scored in seven of their eight away games including four last time out at Sheffield Wednesday.

Sheffield Wednesday v Leicester

Leicester have won all eight games against teams in the bottom half home and away, which includes four away games against sides in the bottom seven. They have won three of them by a single goal and conceded in three, so I don't want to be laying their handicap. Wednesday have also lost by a single goal at home in all three games against the top eight.

Leeds v Swansea

Leeds have scored in seven of eight home games and conceded in five. Swansea have scored in seven of their eight away games including two away at West Brom and Ipswich. Leeds have played seven games against sides with similar attacking numbers to Swansea and they've conceded in five (Plymouth, Cardiff, Bristol City, Stoke, Huddersfield) of seven. Swansea have conceded two or more in all six games they've played against sides in the top eight sides. 

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