West Brom vs Coventry Predictions, Betting Tips and Bet Builder IQ

West Brom have been a dominant force at the Hawthorns this season with 11 wins from 17. They have the league's fifth-best net expected goal difference at home at +0.64 expected goals per 90. Coventry have a -0.92 net expected goal difference away from home in their four matches against sides in the top six. They also have poor results away from home against sides in the top eight, with four losses and two draws. Cov have been beaten by two playoff contenders in the past eight, with a 3-0 home defeat to Preston last weekend and a 2-1 loss at Norwich earlier this month. The Baggies have won five of their last six at home, which includes good wins over Norwich and Leeds. At 6/5, there is a small bit of value on West Brom. I wouldn't be surprised if they went off closer to odds on.

My expected goals model data is accessible via this link for free and covers over ten leagues. My model assigns every attack an xG value instead of just counting shots. This is a more accurate method of measuring expected goals and gives a better view of team performance.

0.50 Points on West Brom Win Best price available at 2.20 with Betfred

Bet Builder IQ

Bet Builder intel from our player betting model.

6/4 Bet Builder

1 point staked

Ellis Simms Over 1.5 Shots

2+ shots in 9/11 away starts in the Championship, including Leicester (4) and Stoke (4) who rank in the top eight for shots allowed at home. He also had two in 16 minutes at Ipswich. Has 2+ in 5/6 previous starts and scored a midweek hat-trick.

Haji Wright Over 1.5 Shots

2+ shots in 9/10 away starts in the Championship. and 3+ in six. Has also had 2+ shots in 4/6 most recent starts and has actually had 3+ in four of six too. Had 4 in the home fixture against WBA.

Diangana Over 0.5 Shots

1+ shot in 7/8 home games this season. Just back from injury and had one shot in his first game back. 

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