Saturday's Football Tips: Back Seagulls to earn a point at Old Trafford in this 12/1 accumulator

BY SOCCERBASE STAFF09:32 PM 15 SEP 2023

We made it. The International break is over, and we are back to club football!

12/1 Five Fold

Brighton +0.5 Asian Handicap at Man United

Over 2.5 Goals - Fulham vs. Luton

Sunderland Draw No Bet at QPR

Portsmouth +0.5 Asian Handicap at Derby

Crawley Draw No Bet vs. Tranmere

£10 returns £129.00 with bet365 - Click to add it straight to your betslip.

Click here to claim!

Man United vs. Brighton

Brighton are the averaging the highest number of expeted goals created each game according to the Soccerbase model. They'll now face a Manchester United with key defensive injuries in Varane, Shaw, Malacia, and Amrabat. Their press will put the likes of Lindelof, Wan Bissaka and McTominay under pressure and force high turnovers. I expect the Seagulls to get at least a point at Old Trafford. We also tipped a selection from this game in the Early Bird Tip last week.

Fulham vs. Luton

If you read our Premier League gameweek four review you'd remember how Luton's pressing numbers increased against West Ham. I expect them to increase further against Fulham and we are treated to a very open game. Fulham saw over 2.5 in 74% of their home games last season.

QPR vs. Sunderland

The Hoops may have six points but they're up against the third best team in the league according to the Soccerbase model ratings and we're getting draw no bet at a great price. Sunderland just beat Southampton 5-0 at home and QPR lost to Ipswich at Loftus Road.

Derby vs. Portsmouth

Pompey remain the only unbeaten side in League One and I'm expecting that to continue on Saturday afternoon against Derby. I think the odds should be closer to a draw no bet game, so we're getting some nice value. Pompey have conceded just two goals in six games.

Crawley vs. Tranmere

Crawley have been a surprise package this season with many thinking they would be in a relegation battle. Three wins, two draws and two losses has been a fantastic start to the campaign for Scott Lindsey's men. The same can't be said for Tranmere who have six losses and one win, which resulted in Ian Dawes getting the boot. The Soccerbase model has Crawley rated over 0.50 goals better in net expected goal differential, so draw no bet looks like a great bit of value.